Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ Mavericks SAC @ DAL

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

0-1  |  Road

129
FINAL
Mon, Feb 10 • 8:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

MAVERICKSDAL

0-0  |  Home

128
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
47%
📊
MAVERICKS
53%
KINGS --
MAVERICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Dallas)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 MavericksDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

41.8%

Mavericks Cover

58.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

SAC By 1-7 points

22.9%

SAC By 8-14 points

12.1%

DAL By 1-7 points

26.9%

DAL By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
113.9
SACRAMENTO
115.96
DALLAS
Simulated Score
SACRAMENTO
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mavericks Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mavericks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 229.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 26, 2026 SAC @ DAL 130 - 121
Jan 6, 2026 DAL @ SAC 100 - 98
Dec 27, 2025 DAL @ SAC 107 - 113
Apr 16, 2025 DAL @ SAC 120 - 106
Mar 3, 2025 SAC @ DAL 122 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +68.3% more
Dallas: 9.4 vs Sacramento: 5.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Dallas: 42.1% vs Sacramento: 31.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Dallas: 48.4% vs Sacramento: 46.3%
Turnovers (L5) +29.4% more
Sacramento: 14.7 vs Dallas: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 113.9 129
DAL Score 116.0 128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.1 / 31.8 40.5 / 34.6
Assists 25.2 / 24.2 31.0 / 28.0
Blocks 9.4 / 5.6 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 46.3 51.6 / 55.2
Free Throw % 78.0 / 78.7 62.5 / 73.7
Rebounding 42.5 / 45.9 33.0 / 50.0
Steals 6.2 / 8.0 11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 14.7 13.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
DAL Advantage
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
DAL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -5.5 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
SAC
DAL
SAC
ML
62% 63-39
55% 55-45
54% 44-37
61% 50-32
ATS
67% 68-34
54% 52-45-3
54% 44-37
61% 50-32
TTL
59% 60-41-1
58% 57-42-1
100% 81-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 39 minutes ago
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
yahoo 6 hours, 30 minutes ago
Joel Embiid: The X-Factor in Philadelphia's Star-Studded Lineup
si 2 days, 1 hour ago
LeBron James Joins Star-Studded 76ers: Inside the First Week of …
players_bio 2 days, 6 hours ago
Lakers Preseason: Luka Dončić Shines, Bronny James Contributes i…
bleacherreport 2 days, 18 hours ago