Home / NBA Projections NBA / Suns @ Trail Blazers PHX @ POR

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

0-2  |  Road

119
FINAL
Mon, Feb 3 • 10:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND

TRAIL BLAZERSPOR

1-0  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
61%
📊
TRAIL BLAZERS
39%
SUNS --
TRAIL BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.4
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.4 points (Phoenix)
SunsPHX (-3.5) 0 Trail BlazersPOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Suns Cover

63.3%

Trail Blazers Cover

36.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -3.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

PHX By 1-7 points

27.3%

PHX By 8-14 points

20.7%

POR By 1-7 points

21.1%

POR By 8-14 points

10.1%

AI Model Projected Score
114.91
PHOENIX
111.52
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
PHOENIX
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Suns Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Suns (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 226.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 POR @ PHX 114 - 110
Feb 22, 2026 POR @ PHX 92 - 77
Feb 3, 2026 PHX @ POR 130 - 125
Nov 18, 2025 PHX @ POR 127 - 110
Feb 3, 2025 PHX @ POR 119 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.4% more
Phoenix: 16.2 vs Portland: 13.2
Assists (L5) +16.5% more
Phoenix: 27.9 vs Portland: 23.3
Steals (L5) +27.2% more
Portland: 8.2 vs Phoenix: 6.5
Blocks (L5) +18.1% more
Portland: 5.1 vs Phoenix: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHX Score 114.9 119
POR Score 111.5 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 38.0 40.0 / 35.7
Assists 23.3 / 27.9 30.0 / 28.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.3 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.4 / 49.0 44.9 / 47.1
Free Throw % 80.4 / 79.1 83.3 / 85.7
Rebounding 43.7 / 41.4 48.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.2 / 6.5 6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 16.2 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
44-44-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
POR
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
PHX
POR
PHX
ML
53% 56-49
57% 60-45
55% 49-40
51% 45-43
ATS
62% 65-39-1
58% 59-43-3
55% 49-40
51% 45-43
TTL
56% 58-46-1
59% 61-42-2
100% 89-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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