BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
0-0 | Road
117
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-0 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
63%
CLIPPERS
37%
CELTICS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
40%
Under 0
60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
27.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
20.9%
LAC By 1-7 points
20.9%
LAC By 8-14 points
10.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
115.88
BOSTON
LA
112.37
LA
Simulated Score
Boston
BOSTON
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.5
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
BOS @ LAC
146 - 115
Nov 16, 2025
LAC @ BOS
118 - 121
Jan 22, 2025
BOS @ LAC
117 - 113
Nov 25, 2024
LAC @ BOS
94 - 126
Jan 27, 2024
LAC @ BOS
115 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+23.7% more
Boston: 6.9
vs
LA: 5.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.5% more
Boston: 48.2
vs
LA: 42.7
Assists (L5)
+8.2% more
Boston: 26.9
vs
LA: 24.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Boston: 36.7%
vs
LA: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
115.9
117
LAC Score
112.4
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 36.7
32.1 / 38.0
Assists
24.7 / 26.9
24.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.3 / 6.9
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 46.8
52.2 / 45.6
Free Throw %
83.2 / 82.9
76.9 / 80.0
Rebounding
42.7 / 48.2
40.0 / 32.0
Steals
8.6 / 8.4
11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.3
23.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
BOS
LAC
BOS
ML
60%
59-40
57%
61-46
55%
45-37
53%
47-41
ATS
66%
65-33-1
59%
61-43-3
55%
45-37
53%
47-41
TTL
59%
58-40-1
56%
60-47
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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