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CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

0-0  |  Road

122
FINAL
Tue, Dec 31 • 9:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

1-1  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
83%
📊
LAKERS
17%
CAVALIERS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
244.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Cleveland)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

52.7%

Lakers Cover

47.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

CLE By 1-7 points

25.9%

CLE By 8-14 points

16.4%

LAL By 1-7 points

24.6%

LAL By 8-14 points

14.2%

AI Model Projected Score
122.55
CLEVELAND
121.88
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
CLEVELAND
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
83% Win Prob
A
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 244.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 CLE @ LAL 113 - 127
Jan 28, 2026 LAL @ CLE 99 - 129
Dec 31, 2024 CLE @ LAL 122 - 110
Oct 30, 2024 LAL @ CLE 110 - 134
Apr 6, 2024 CLE @ LAL 97 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.8% more
Cleveland: 9.9 vs Los Angeles: 6.6
Rebounding (L5) +13.8% more
Cleveland: 46.2 vs Los Angeles: 39.8
Free Throw % (L5) +7.7%
Los Angeles: 82.3% vs Cleveland: 74.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Los Angeles: 51.3% vs Cleveland: 49.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 122.6 122
LAL Score 121.9 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.8 / 42.7 25.7 / 39.1
Assists 28.6 / 31.0 26.0 / 32.0
Blocks 4.4 / 4.7 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 49.7 44.2 / 48.4
Free Throw % 82.3 / 74.5 89.5 / 82.4
Rebounding 39.8 / 46.2 43.0 / 48.0
Steals 6.6 / 9.9 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 13.4 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
CLE
LAL
CLE
ML
61% 68-43
60% 69-46
54% 49-42
56% 55-44
ATS
61% 67-43-1
67% 75-37-3
54% 49-42
56% 55-44
TTL
61% 66-43-2
59% 68-47
100% 91-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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