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CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

1-0  |  Road

115
FINAL
Mon, Dec 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

0-1  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
73%
📊
HORNETS
27%
BULLS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.8 points (Chicago)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

75.0%

Hornets Cover

25.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -6.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHI By 1-7 points

26.4%

CHI By 8-14 points

25.1%

CHA By 1-7 points

15.7%

CHA By 8-14 points

6.0%

AI Model Projected Score
109.43
CHICAGO
102.68
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Win
73% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 212.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 CHA @ CHI 131 - 99
Jan 3, 2026 CHA @ CHI 112 - 99
Dec 12, 2025 CHI @ CHA 129 - 126
Nov 28, 2025 CHI @ CHA 116 - 123
Apr 6, 2025 CHI @ CHA 131 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.3% more
Chicago: 31.4 vs Charlotte: 23.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Chicago: 37.8% vs Charlotte: 32.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.3%
Chicago: 46.4% vs Charlotte: 41.1%
Turnovers (L5) +23.0% more
Charlotte: 16.5 vs Chicago: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 109.4 115
CHA Score 102.7 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 37.8 23.3 / 30.0
Assists 23.7 / 31.4 23.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.7 / 3.8 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 46.4 41.6 / 37.5
Free Throw % 79.4 / 78.8 70.0 / 70.4
Rebounding 45.8 / 45.8 56.0 / 63.0
Steals 8.2 / 6.7 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 16.5 / 13.4 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
CHI
CHA
CHI
ML
61% 60-39
56% 54-42
48% 40-44
57% 46-35
ATS
60% 59-40
65% 62-33-1
48% 40-44
57% 46-35
TTL
58% 57-42
58% 56-40
100% 84-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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