CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
0-0 | Road
119
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
1-0 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
50%
BULLS
50%
CAVALIERS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
25.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
16.2%
CHI By 1-7 points
24.8%
CHI By 8-14 points
14.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
120.04
CLEVELAND
Chicago
119.47
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Chicago
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.6
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 239.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
CLE @ CHI
115 - 110
Dec 19, 2025
CHI @ CLE
136 - 125
Dec 17, 2025
CLE @ CHI
111 - 127
Nov 8, 2025
CHI @ CLE
122 - 128
Oct 9, 2025
CLE @ CHI
112 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.3% more
Cleveland: 5.8
vs
Chicago: 4.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Cleveland: 42.0%
vs
Chicago: 36.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.1%
Cleveland: 53.1%
vs
Chicago: 48.0%
Rebounding (L5)
+9.6% more
Chicago: 43.7
vs
Cleveland: 39.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
120.0
119
CHI Score
119.5
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 42.0
36.8 / 33.3
Assists
29.2 / 28.7
26.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.5 / 5.8
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 53.1
49.4 / 44.3
Free Throw %
76.7 / 76.8
81.3 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.7 / 39.9
51.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.1 / 8.9
7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 14.9
21.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
CLE
CHI
CLE
ML
56%
54-42
60%
69-46
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
67%
75-37-3
57%
46-35
56%
55-44
TTL
58%
56-40
59%
68-47
100%
81-0
100%
99-0
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