Home / NBA Projections NBA / Raptors @ Lakers TOR @ LAL

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

0-1  |  Road

103
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 9:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

1-1  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
50%
📊
LAKERS
50%
RAPTORS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.3 points (Los Angeles)
RaptorsTOR (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raptors Cover

26.3%

Lakers Cover

73.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

TOR By 1-7 points

16.4%

TOR By 8-14 points

6.5%

LAL By 1-7 points

26.7%

LAL By 8-14 points

24.6%

AI Model Projected Score
108.07
TORONTO
114.4
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
TORONTO
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 18, 2026 TOR @ LAL 93 - 110
Dec 4, 2025 LAL @ TOR 123 - 120
Nov 10, 2024 TOR @ LAL 103 - 123
Nov 1, 2024 LAL @ TOR 131 - 125
Apr 2, 2024 LAL @ TOR 128 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.3% more
Los Angeles: 5.9 vs Toronto: 3.8
Free Throw % (L5) +14.5%
Los Angeles: 82.0% vs Toronto: 67.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
Los Angeles: 37.4% vs Toronto: 31.9%
Steals (L5) +34.6% more
Toronto: 8.7 vs Los Angeles: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 108.1 103
LAL Score 114.4 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 31.9 32.4 / 34.5
Assists 26.4 / 29.4 30.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.9 / 3.8 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 46.1 51.2 / 45.1
Free Throw % 82.0 / 67.5 82.1 / 86.4
Rebounding 41.3 / 41.9 33.0 / 40.0
Steals 5.7 / 8.7 9.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.9 5.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
TOR
LAL
TOR
ML
61% 68-43
55% 57-47
54% 49-42
55% 48-39
ATS
61% 67-43-1
61% 62-40-2
54% 49-42
55% 48-39
TTL
61% 66-43-2
60% 62-42
100% 91-0
100% 87-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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