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SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

0-1  |  Road

127
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 8:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
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PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

0-2  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
50%
📊
SUNS
50%
KINGS --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Sacramento)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

58.4%

Suns Cover

41.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)

SAC By 1-7 points

26.9%

SAC By 8-14 points

18.7%

PHX By 1-7 points

22.9%

PHX By 8-14 points

12.0%

AI Model Projected Score
111.46
SACRAMENTO
109.34
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
SACRAMENTO
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Kings Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Kings (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 220.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 PHX @ SAC 114 - 103
Jan 2, 2026 SAC @ PHX 102 - 129
Nov 26, 2025 PHX @ SAC 112 - 100
Oct 22, 2025 SAC @ PHX 116 - 120
Apr 13, 2025 PHX @ SAC 98 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.0% more
Sacramento: 7.7 vs Phoenix: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5) +8.7%
Sacramento: 85.4% vs Phoenix: 76.7%
Assists (L5) +17.7% more
Phoenix: 26.9 vs Sacramento: 22.9
Blocks (L5) +14.9% more
Phoenix: 4.6 vs Sacramento: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 111.5 127
PHX Score 109.3 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.3 / 24.5 31.6 / 29.7
Assists 26.9 / 22.9 30.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.0 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 47.8 41.9 / 49.0
Free Throw % 76.7 / 85.4 80.0 / 84.2
Rebounding 43.5 / 41.7 48.0 / 57.0
Steals 6.1 / 7.7 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 13.5 12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
SAC
PHX
SAC
ML
57% 60-45
55% 55-45
51% 45-43
61% 50-32
ATS
58% 59-43-3
54% 52-45-3
51% 45-43
61% 50-32
TTL
59% 61-42-2
58% 57-42-1
100% 88-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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