Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ 76ers CHA @ PHI

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

0-1  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-0  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
50%
📊
76ERS
50%
HORNETS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.8 points (Philadelphia)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

24.9%

76ers Cover

75.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -6.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CHA By 1-7 points

15.7%

CHA By 8-14 points

6.0%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.4%

PHI By 8-14 points

25.1%

AI Model Projected Score
104.45
CHARLOTTE
111.22
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
CHARLOTTE
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 215.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 PHI @ CHA 118 - 114
Jan 26, 2026 PHI @ CHA 93 - 130
Oct 25, 2025 CHA @ PHI 121 - 125
Dec 20, 2024 CHA @ PHI 98 - 108
Dec 16, 2024 PHI @ CHA 121 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.4% more
Philadelphia: 8.4 vs Charlotte: 6.9
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Philadelphia: 44.7% vs Charlotte: 43.0%
Blocks (L5) +22.4% more
Charlotte: 4.7 vs Philadelphia: 3.6
Rebounding (L5) +16.7% more
Charlotte: 46.9 vs Philadelphia: 39.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 104.5 105
PHI Score 111.2 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.9 / 33.7 27.3 / 25.9
Assists 23.2 / 22.3 24.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.7 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 43.0 46.4 / 37.9
Free Throw % 70.7 / 82.1 76.9 / 86.4
Rebounding 39.1 / 46.9 40.0 / 50.0
Steals 8.4 / 6.9 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 14.5 17.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHA
PHI
CHA
ML
63% 69-40
61% 60-39
48% 45-48
48% 40-44
ATS
65% 71-38
60% 59-40
48% 45-48
48% 40-44
TTL
55% 60-49
58% 57-42
100% 93-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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