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BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

0-0  |  Road

132
FINAL
Wed, Oct 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

1-0  |  Home

135
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
50%
📊
PACERS
50%
CELTICS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

60.6%

Pacers Cover

39.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

27.1%

BOS By 8-14 points

19.6%

IND By 1-7 points

22.1%

IND By 8-14 points

11.1%

AI Model Projected Score
113.72
BOSTON
111.04
INDIANA
Simulated Score
BOSTON
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 224.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 IND @ BOS 104 - 119
Jan 12, 2026 BOS @ IND 96 - 98
Dec 26, 2025 BOS @ IND 140 - 122
Dec 22, 2025 IND @ BOS 95 - 103
Dec 29, 2024 IND @ BOS 123 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.9%
Boston: 82.0% vs Indiana: 70.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Boston: 40.4% vs Indiana: 35.4%
Turnovers (L5) +37.7% more
Indiana: 15.9 vs Boston: 11.5
Assists (L5) +15.2% more
Indiana: 27.5 vs Boston: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 113.7 132
IND Score 111.0 135
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 40.4 39.5 / 33.3
Assists 27.5 / 23.9 33.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.9 / 4.8 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 46.5 48.1 / 40.4
Free Throw % 70.0 / 82.0 83.3 / 80.6
Rebounding 40.4 / 40.8 57.0 / 51.0
Steals 8.3 / 7.3 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 11.5 19.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS Advantage
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
BOS
IND
BOS
ML
48% 47-50
57% 61-46
54% 45-38
53% 47-41
ATS
59% 57-40
59% 61-43-3
54% 45-38
53% 47-41
TTL
54% 52-45
56% 60-47
100% 83-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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