Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nuggets @ Nets DEN @ BKN

DENVER

NUGGETSDEN

1-1  |  Road

144
FINAL
Tue, Oct 29 • 7:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

1-0  |  Home

139
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
50%
📊
NETS
50%
NUGGETS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
196.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Denver)
NuggetsDEN (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nuggets Cover

54.5%

Nets Cover

45.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEN -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

DEN By 1-7 points

26.3%

DEN By 8-14 points

17.2%

BKN By 1-7 points

24.1%

BKN By 8-14 points

13.5%

AI Model Projected Score
98.89
DENVER
97.75
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
DENVER
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nuggets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nuggets (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 196.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 29, 2026 BKN @ DEN 103 - 107
Jan 4, 2026 DEN @ BKN 115 - 127
Jan 10, 2025 BKN @ DEN 105 - 124
Oct 29, 2024 DEN @ BKN 144 - 139
Dec 22, 2023 DEN @ BKN 122 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.0% more
Denver: 5.2 vs Brooklyn: 4.1
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Denver: 26.7 vs Brooklyn: 23.3
Rebounding (L5) +9.8% more
Denver: 47.2 vs Brooklyn: 42.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Denver: 38.0% vs Brooklyn: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEN Score 98.9 144
BKN Score 97.8 139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 38.0 38.5 / 48.1
Assists 23.3 / 26.7 37.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.2 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 44.5 51.0 / 51.7
Free Throw % 82.3 / 76.6 77.8 / 83.0
Rebounding 42.6 / 47.2 41.0 / 43.0
Steals 8.2 / 8.6 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 16.0 / 15.5 9.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
94%MONEY6%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN Advantage
56-32-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8% Total +/-: +3.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
DEN
BKN
DEN
ML
53% 50-45
54% 57-48
59% 48-34
55% 47-39
ATS
52% 48-44-3
63% 65-38-2
59% 48-34
55% 47-39
TTL
57% 54-41
54% 56-48-1
100% 82-0
100% 86-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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