Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Pacers PHI @ IND

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-0  |  Road

118
FINAL
Sun, Oct 27 • 3:30 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

1-0  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
50%
📊
PACERS
50%
76ERS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.2
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.2 points (Indiana)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

30.0%

Pacers Cover

70.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -5.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

PHI By 1-7 points

18.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

7.7%

IND By 1-7 points

27.2%

IND By 8-14 points

23.3%

AI Model Projected Score
102.65
PHILADELPHIA
107.89
INDIANA
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pacers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 210.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 PHI @ IND 105 - 94
Feb 24, 2026 PHI @ IND 135 - 114
Jan 19, 2026 IND @ PHI 104 - 113
Dec 12, 2025 IND @ PHI 105 - 115
Mar 14, 2025 IND @ PHI 112 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +58.4% more
Indiana: 6.0 vs Philadelphia: 3.8
Assists (L5) +55.1% more
Indiana: 29.2 vs Philadelphia: 18.8
Turnovers (L5) +10.3% more
Indiana: 15.9 vs Philadelphia: 14.4
Field Goal % (L5) +9.6%
Indiana: 50.0% vs Philadelphia: 40.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 102.7 118
IND Score 107.9 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.7 / 29.9 40.6 / 26.2
Assists 29.2 / 18.8 28.0 / 15.0
Blocks 6.0 / 3.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.0 / 40.4 46.4 / 42.9
Free Throw % 73.7 / 77.5 67.6 / 74.2
Rebounding 39.4 / 40.9 37.0 / 54.0
Steals 9.4 / 8.6 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 14.4 20.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
91%MONEY9%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
PHI
IND
PHI
ML
48% 47-50
63% 69-40
54% 45-38
48% 45-48
ATS
59% 57-40
65% 71-38
54% 45-38
48% 45-48
TTL
54% 52-45
55% 60-49
100% 83-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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