LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-0 | Road
109
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
1-1 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
50%
NUGGETS
50%
CLIPPERS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
198.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.3
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.3 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -7.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
25.6%
DEN By 1-7 points
14.8%
DEN By 8-14 points
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
102.93
LA
Denver
95.63
DENVER
Simulated Score
LA
108
LA
Denver
112
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nuggets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.3
D
Sim
Nuggets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 198.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.9% more
LA: 11.6
vs
Denver: 8.3
Turnovers (L5)
+11.8% more
LA: 20.2
vs
Denver: 17.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
LA: 48.3%
vs
Denver: 43.4%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
LA: 73.1%
vs
Denver: 70.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
102.9
109
DEN Score
95.6
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 31.3
40.0 / 36.4
Assists
28.3 / 25.0
20.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.3 / 3.9
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 48.3
40.2 / 48.8
Free Throw %
70.7 / 73.1
83.3 / 81.0
Rebounding
48.6 / 45.8
37.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.3 / 11.6
13.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 20.2
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
LAC
DEN
LAC
ML
54%
57-48
60%
59-40
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38-2
66%
65-33-1
55%
47-39
55%
45-37
TTL
54%
56-48-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
86-0
100%
82-0
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