Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Raptors PHI @ TOR

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

1-0  |  Road

107
FINAL
Fri, Oct 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

0-1  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
50%
📊
RAPTORS
50%
76ERS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Philadelphia)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

70.9%

Raptors Cover

29.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-7 points

27.1%

PHI By 8-14 points

23.7%

TOR By 1-7 points

17.7%

TOR By 8-14 points

7.4%

AI Model Projected Score
104.61
PHILADELPHIA
99.11
TORONTO
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 203.7
D
Sim u0.0 Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 12, 2026 PHI @ TOR 115 - 102
Jan 11, 2026 PHI @ TOR 115 - 116
Nov 19, 2025 TOR @ PHI 121 - 112
Nov 8, 2025 TOR @ PHI 120 - 130
Mar 30, 2025 TOR @ PHI 127 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +2.6%
Philadelphia: 78.6% vs Toronto: 76.0%
Assists (L5) +54.8% more
Toronto: 28.9 vs Philadelphia: 18.7
Blocks (L5) +39.0% more
Toronto: 4.4 vs Philadelphia: 3.2
Turnovers (L5) +33.9% more
Toronto: 18.3 vs Philadelphia: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 104.6 107
TOR Score 99.1 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 29.4 26.1 / 31.0
Assists 28.9 / 18.7 25.0 / 19.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.2 13.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 41.4 46.1 / 38.2
Free Throw % 76.0 / 78.6 84.8 / 75.5
Rebounding 44.5 / 47.4 54.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.8 / 7.5 11.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 18.3 / 13.6 27.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
88%MONEY12%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
TOR Advantage
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
PHI
TOR
PHI
ML
55% 57-47
63% 69-40
55% 48-39
48% 45-48
ATS
61% 62-40-2
65% 71-38
55% 48-39
48% 45-48
TTL
60% 62-42
55% 60-49
100% 87-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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