PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
0-2 | Road
116
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-0 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
50%
CLIPPERS
50%
SUNS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
25.7%
PHX By 8-14 points
16.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
24.9%
LAC By 8-14 points
14.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
102.88
PHOENIX
LA
102.47
LA
Simulated Score
Phoenix
PHOENIX
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
LAC @ PHX
117 - 93
Nov 8, 2025
PHX @ LAC
114 - 103
Nov 6, 2025
LAC @ PHX
102 - 115
Oct 24, 2025
PHX @ LAC
102 - 129
Mar 4, 2025
LAC @ PHX
117 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.6% more
Phoenix: 7.1
vs
LA: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+18.7% more
Phoenix: 29.4
vs
LA: 23.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.6%
Phoenix: 37.7%
vs
LA: 33.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.1%
Phoenix: 78.7%
vs
LA: 74.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
102.9
116
LAC Score
102.5
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.1 / 37.7
27.6 / 39.5
Assists
23.9 / 29.4
27.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.3 / 7.1
1.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 46.5
45.7 / 48.7
Free Throw %
74.6 / 78.7
70.0 / 73.5
Rebounding
43.3 / 45.0
51.0 / 42.0
Steals
13.0 / 8.3
9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
19.2 / 14.9
22.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
PHX
LAC
PHX
ML
60%
59-40
57%
60-45
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
59-43-3
55%
45-37
51%
45-43
TTL
59%
58-40-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
82-0
100%
88-0
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