Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Colorado @ Utah COLO @ UTAH

COLORADO

COLORADOCOLO

2-3  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Oct 25 • 6:25 PM ET
Rice-Eccles Stadium
View Odds Details →

UTAH

UTAHUTAH

4-0  |  Home

53
Key Game
Damon Greaves
KEY GAME

Damon Greaves

#35 | Punter
@
Dillon Curtis
KEY GAME

Dillon Curtis

#17 | Place kicker
Player
Damon Greaves None-None
Dillon Curtis None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COLORADO
40%
📊
UTAH
60%
COLORADO --
UTAH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Utah)
ColoradoCOLO (-3.5) 0 UtahUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colorado Cover

30.9%

Utah Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UTAH -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

COLO By 1-6 points

12.9%

COLO By 7-13 points

9.6%

UTAH By 1-6 points

16.5%

UTAH By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
17
COLORADO
24
UTAH
Simulated Score
COLORADO
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Utah Win
60% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Utah (+14) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u49.5 Loss
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 25, 2025 COLO @ UTAH 7 - 53
Nov 16, 2024 UTAH @ COLO 24 - 49
Nov 25, 2023 COLO @ UTAH 17 - 23
Nov 26, 2022 UTAH @ COLO 63 - 21
Nov 26, 2021 COLO @ UTAH 13 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +66.1% more
Utah: 228.7 vs Colorado: 137.7
First Downs (L5) +34.7% more
Utah: 24.3 vs Colorado: 18.0
Total Yards (L5) +20.3% more
Utah: 440.1 vs Colorado: 365.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLO Score 17.0 7
UTAH Score 24.0 53
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.3 / 18.0 25.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 228.7 / 137.7 422.0 / 38.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.33 / 0.19
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 440.1 / 365.9 587.0 / 140.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.4 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
76%MONEY24%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.8 ATS +/-: -8.2
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.8 ATS +/-: -8.2
UTAH Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +11.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COLO
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -8.7
UTAH
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
COLO
UTAH
COLO
ML
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
ATS
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
TTL
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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