Key Game
KEY GAME
Bart Edmiston
#18 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Damon Greaves
#35 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bart Edmiston | None-None |
| Damon Greaves | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WYOMING
100%
COLORADO
0%
WYOMING
--
COLORADO
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
25.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around COLO -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)
WYO By 1-6 points
8.6%
WYO By 7-13 points
5.3%
COLO By 1-6 points
13.5%
COLO By 7-13 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
6
WYOMING
Colorado
19
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Wyoming
WYOMING
Colorado
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Colorado
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Colorado (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
C
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 25.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2025
WYO @ COLO
20 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+37.8% more
Wyoming: 150.5
vs
Colorado: 93.6
Turnovers (L5)
+27.9% more
Wyoming: 1.5
vs
Colorado: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
6.0
20
COLO Score
19.0
37
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.6 / 18.9
23.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards
93.6 / 150.5
193.0 / 165.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.5 / 0.38
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards
333.3 / 328.6
497.0 / 347.0
Turnovers
1.1 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -7.8
ATS +/-: -8.3
COLO
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.8
ATS +/-: -8.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -7.8
ATS +/-: -8.3
COLO
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -6.8
ATS +/-: -8.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -7.7
COLO
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -8.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
WYO
COLO
WYO
ML
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
100%
5-0
ATS
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
60%
3-2
100%
5-0
TTL
60%
3-2
0%
0-5
0%
0-5
20%
1-4