Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Catamounts @ Wake Forest WCU @ WAKE

W CAROLINA

CATAMOUNTSWCU

0-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 12:25 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

WAKE FORESTWAKE

4-1  |  Home

42
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

#-- | P
@
Connor Calvert
KEY GAME

Connor Calvert

#90 | Place kicker
Player
-
Connor Calvert None-None
- W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CATAMOUNTS
50%
📊
WAKE FOREST
50%
CATAMOUNTS --
WAKE FOREST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
32.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
W CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (W Carolina)
CatamountsWCU (-3.5) 0 Wake ForestWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Catamounts Cover

66.7%

Wake Forest Cover

33.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around WCU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)

WCU By 1-6 points

16.7%

WCU By 7-13 points

19.0%

WAKE By 1-6 points

13.5%

WAKE By 7-13 points

10.4%

AI Model Projected Score
19.12
W CAROLINA
13.08
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
W CAROLINA
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI 32
Proj Total: 32.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 WCU @ WAKE 10 - 42
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +53.4% more
W Carolina: 2.8 vs Wake Forest: 1.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +18.2% more
Wake Forest: 119.1 vs W Carolina: 100.8
First Downs (L5) +14.1% more
Wake Forest: 19.4 vs W Carolina: 17.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WCU Score 19.1 10
WAKE Score 13.1 42
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.4 / 17.0 21.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards 119.1 / 100.8 273.0 / 34.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.4 / 0.24
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.4 / 0.6
Total Yards 324.9 / 311.5 542.0 / 238.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 2.8 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WCU
--
WAKE Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WCU
--
WAKE Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.6 ATS +/-: +10.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WCU
--
WAKE
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
WCU
WAKE
WCU
ML
80% 4-1
-- 0-0
80% 4-1
-- 0-0
ATS
80% 4-1
-- 0-0
80% 4-1
-- 0-0
TTL
80% 4-1
-- 0-0
40% 2-3
-- 0-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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