Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Cardinals LAR @ ARI

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

2-2  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Sep 15 • 4:05 PM ET
Matchup Hub
View Odds Details →

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

1-3  |  Home

41
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Blake Gillikin
KEY GAME

Blake Gillikin

#12 | Punter
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Blake Gillikin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
50%
📊
CARDINALS
50%
RAMS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.3 points (Los Angeles)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 CardinalsARI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

62.0%

Cardinals Cover

38.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAR -4.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

16.9%

LAR By 7-13 points

18.2%

ARI By 1-6 points

14.6%

ARI By 7-13 points

11.9%

AI Model Projected Score
24.39
LOS ANGELES
20.1
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
27
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.3
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 44.5
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 ARI @ LAR 20 - 37
Dec 7, 2025 LAR @ ARI 45 - 17
Dec 28, 2024 ARI @ LAR 9 - 13
Sep 15, 2024 LAR @ ARI 10 - 41
Nov 26, 2023 LAR @ ARI 37 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +30.9% more
Los Angeles: 284.7 vs Arizona: 196.8
Turnovers (L5) +19.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9 vs Arizona: 0.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +62.8% more
Arizona: 159.8 vs Los Angeles: 98.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 24.4 10
ARI Score 20.1 41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.5 / 22.9 24.0 / 14.0
Net Passing Yards 196.8 / 284.7 258.0 / 192.0
Rushing Yards 159.8 / 98.2 231.0 / 53.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.64 / 0.18
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 356.6 / 382.9 489.0 / 245.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 0.9 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 5.9 7.9 / 4.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
LAR
ARI
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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