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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

30-45  |  Road

0
FINAL
Thu, Jun 18 • 9:40 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

36-38  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Ryan Johnson
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Johnson

#32 | Starting Pitcher
@
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ryan Johnson None-None 12.83 -- 5.0 2
Hogan Harris None-None 3.03 -- 1.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
12.83 ERA Ldr 3.03
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
50%
📊
ATHLETICS
50%
ANGELS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 53%
Under 0 47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

77.3%

Athletics Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

18.4%

LAA By 3-4 runs

19.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

10.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
6
LOS ANGELES
3
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
6
LOS ANGELES
3
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
C
Sim Angels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u10.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u10.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 23, 2026 LAA @ ATH 3 - 7
Sep 22, 2026 LAA @ ATH 7 - 9
Jun 28, 2026 ATH @ LAA 1 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 ATH @ LAA 2 - 5
Jun 26, 2026 ATH @ LAA 9 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .317
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.679
OPS
▲ .719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +73.5% more
Los Angeles: 1.1 vs Athletics: 0.3
Strikeouts (L5) +71.4% more
Athletics: 8.8 vs Los Angeles: 5.1
Home Runs (L5) +49.3% more
Athletics: 2.0 vs Los Angeles: 1.3
Home Runs (Season) +26.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 6.0 0
ATH Score 3.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 1.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.5 / 9.4 8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 2.0 / 1.3 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.8 / 5.1 11.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 17.3 / 16.2 15.0 / 5.0
Walks 3.6 / 3.3 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
LAA
ATH
LAA
ML
59% 95-67
59% 96-66
54% 87-74
55% 89-73
ATS
52% 84-78
60% 97-65
50% 81-80
51% 82-80
TTL
54% 84-73-5
53% 83-74-5
42% 66-90-5
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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