Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rays @ Dodgers TB @ LAD

TAMPA BAY

RAYSTB

41-28  |  Road

0
FINAL
Tue, Jun 16 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

46-27  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Cam Booser
STARTING PITCHER

Cam Booser

#62 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cam Booser None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 1
Tanner Scott None-None 2.32 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 2.32
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
RAYS
41%
📊
DODGERS
59%
RAYS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RaysTB (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rays Cover

40.1%

Dodgers Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

TB By 1-2 runs

19.6%

TB By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
TAMPA BAY
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
TAMPA BAY
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rays Loss
41% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
B
Sim Rays (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 17, 2026 TB @ LAD 4 - 5
Jun 16, 2026 TB @ LAD 0 - 1
Jun 15, 2026 TB @ LAD 3 - 4
Aug 3, 2025 LAD @ TB 3 - 0
Aug 2, 2025 LAD @ TB 0 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Tampa Bay TB
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.54
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.326
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.728
OPS
▲ .762
169
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +17.6% more
Tampa Bay: 10.0 vs Los Angeles: 8.2
Hits (L5) +9.2% more
Tampa Bay: 8.5 vs Los Angeles: 7.7
Walks (L5) +8.6% more
Tampa Bay: 2.8 vs Los Angeles: 2.6
Home Runs (L5) +63.4% more
Los Angeles: 1.8 vs Tampa Bay: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TB Score 4.0 0
LAD Score 3.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 8.5 6.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 1.8 / 1.1 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 10.0 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 15.0 / 13.2 9.0 / 3.0
Walks 2.6 / 2.8 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TB
101-64-0 (61.2%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TB Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
TB
LAD
TB
ML
56% 92-73
58% 95-68
48% 79-87
58% 95-68
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-66
43% 72-94
55% 90-73
TTL
48% 77-82-6
47% 73-81-9
44% 70-90-6
51% 78-75-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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