Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rockies @ Athletics COL @ ATH

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

26-45  |  Road

23
FINAL
Sun, Jun 14 • 3:05 PM ET
Las Vegas Ballpark
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

35-35  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Tomoyuki Sugano
STARTING PITCHER

Tomoyuki Sugano

#11 | Starting Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Basso

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tomoyuki Sugano None-None 4.54 -- 5.0 2
Brady Basso None-None 12.46 -- 1.2 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.54 Ldr ERA 12.46
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.2
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
29%
📊
ATHLETICS
71%
ROCKIES --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 25%
Under 0 75%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Athletics)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

40.1%

Athletics Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

COL By 1-2 runs

16.3%

COL By 3-4 runs

10.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
6
COLORADO
7
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
4
COLORADO
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Loss
71% Win Prob
B
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Athletics (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u13.5 Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
B
Sim u13.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 COL @ ATH 23 - 9
Jun 13, 2026 COL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 12, 2026 COL @ ATH 4 - 6
Apr 6, 2025 ATH @ COL 5 - 12
Apr 5, 2025 ATH @ COL 7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.64 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.322 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.739 ▲
OPS
.719
180
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +74.3% more
Athletics: 2.4 vs Colorado: 1.4
Total Bases (L5) +27.6% more
Athletics: 20.0 vs Colorado: 15.7
Strikeouts (L5) +26.3% more
Athletics: 9.3 vs Colorado: 7.4
Hits (L5) +17.0% more
Athletics: 10.2 vs Colorado: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 6.0 23
ATH Score 7.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.2 / 8.7 15.0 / 24.0
Home Runs 2.4 / 1.4 2.0 / 6.0
Strikeouts 9.3 / 7.4 7.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 20.0 / 15.7 25.0 / 51.0
Walks 3.1 / 3.5 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
COL
ATH
COL
ML
59% 95-67
60% 97-64
54% 87-74
55% 88-73
ATS
52% 84-78
60% 97-64
50% 81-80
52% 83-78
TTL
54% 84-73-5
60% 93-62-6
42% 66-90-5
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
si 0 minutes ago
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 3 hours, 48 minutes ago
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
sportsvideo 9 hours, 54 minutes ago
Yankees' Season on the Brink: Max Fried Takes Mound for Game 3 D…
yardbarker 1 day, 10 hours ago
Nick Martinez's Journey from Ejection at Yankee Stadium to ALCS …
yourvalley_net 1 day, 16 hours ago