CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
37-34 | Road
1
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
28-43 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Webb
#71 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Webb
#62 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Webb | None-None | 2.73 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Logan Webb | None-None | 3.46 | -- | 8.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.73 Ldr
ERA
3.46
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 8.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
53%
GIANTS
47%
CUBS
--
GIANTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
CHC By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHC By 3-4 runs
10.6%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SF By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
San Francisco
7
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
San Francisco
6
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Win
47% Win Prob
D
Sim
Giants
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Sim
Giants (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
CHC @ SF
1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026
CHC @ SF
6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026
CHC @ SF
5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026
SF @ CHC
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
San Francisco
SF
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.13
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.306
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.374
OPS
▲
.706
0
Home Runs
▲
178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+17800.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+363.0% more
San Francisco: 4.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+33.2%
San Francisco: 70.6%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+25.5%
San Francisco: 40.0%
vs
Chicago: 14.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
6.0
1
SF Score
7.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.5
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 8.6
9.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 2.0
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.1 / 8.0
9.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 17.4
14.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.9
0.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
Advantage
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
SF
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CHC
SF
CHC
ML
49%
79-81
58%
93-68
53%
85-75
51%
82-79
ATS
62%
100-60
61%
97-63-1
52%
83-77
47%
75-85-1
TTL
55%
82-68-10
52%
81-74-6
46%
68-81-11
46%
72-83-6
Contextual Game News
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Guardians Outslug White Sox in Game 4 to Force Decisive ALDS Gam…
White Sox Collapse in Game 4 Sets Up Winner-Take-All Game 5
Jose Ramirez Ignites Guardians' Comeback, Forces Game 5 vs. Whit…
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox