Home / MLB Projections MLB / Mariners @ Nationals SEA @ WSH

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

37-35  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sun, Jun 14 • 1:35 PM ET
Nationals Park
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

NATIONALSWSH

36-35  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
@
Clayton Beeter
STARTING PITCHER

Clayton Beeter

#39 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Andres Munoz None-None 5.92 -- -- --
Clayton Beeter None-None 3.54 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
5.92 ERA Ldr 3.54
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
46%
📊
NATIONALS
54%
MARINERS --
NATIONALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
15.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
MarinersSEA (-3.5) 0 NationalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mariners Cover

40.1%

Nationals Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

SEA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

SEA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

WSH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

WSH By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SEATTLE
8
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
4
SEATTLE
5
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nationals Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim Nationals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nationals (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Nationals (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o10.5 Win
Proj Total: 15.0
D
Sim u10.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 SEA @ WSH 1 - 10
Jun 13, 2026 SEA @ WSH 3 - 8
Jun 12, 2026 SEA @ WSH 10 - 2
May 29, 2025 WSH @ SEA 9 - 3
May 28, 2025 WSH @ SEA 9 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle SEA
vs
Washington WSH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲ 5.07
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .246
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .321
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .423
.693
OPS
▲ .744
182
Home Runs
▲ 210
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +29.5% more
Washington: 3.5 vs Seattle: 2.7
Runs per Game (Season) +23.7% more
Washington: 5.1 vs Seattle: 4.1
Home Runs (Season) +15.4% more
Washington: 210.0 vs Seattle: 182.0
OPS (Season) +5.1%
Washington: 74.4% vs Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 7.0 1
WSH Score 8.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 1.2 2.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.5 / 8.8 14.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.7 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 7.7 5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 14.7 / 14.6 25.0 / 6.0
Walks 3.5 / 2.7 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
WSH Advantage
(56.2%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
85-69-8
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SEA
WSH
SEA
ML
57% 92-69
50% 81-81
54% 87-74
52% 85-77
ATS
58% 93-68
60% 98-64
57% 91-70
59% 95-67
TTL
50% 77-78-6
56% 85-67-10
42% 65-90-6
53% 81-71-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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