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TAMPA BAY

RAYSTB

40-26  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Jun 13 • 10:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

28-42  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Cam Booser
STARTING PITCHER

Cam Booser

#62 | Relief Pitcher
@
Samy Natera Jr.
STARTING PITCHER

Samy Natera Jr.

#52 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Cam Booser None-None 0.00 -- 1.1 2
Samy Natera Jr. None-None 0.00 -- 2.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
RAYS
41%
📊
ANGELS
59%
RAYS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 53%
Under 0 47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
RaysTB (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rays Cover

30.9%

Angels Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

TB By 1-2 runs

13.6%

TB By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4
TAMPA BAY
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
TAMPA BAY
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
59% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Sim Angels (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u8.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 TB @ LAA 8 - 3
Jun 13, 2026 TB @ LAA 0 - 8
Jun 12, 2026 TB @ LAA 3 - 4
May 31, 2026 LAA @ TB 2 - 5
May 30, 2026 LAA @ TB 14 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Tampa Bay TB
vs
Los Angeles LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.54 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.326 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.728 ▲
OPS
.679
169 ▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +81.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.5 vs Tampa Bay: 2.5
Errors (L5) +61.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.7 vs Tampa Bay: 0.1
Home Runs (L5) +36.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8 vs Tampa Bay: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +20.3% more
Los Angeles: 14.5 vs Tampa Bay: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TB Score 4.0 0
LAA Score 6.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.7 / 9.0 15.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 0.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.7 / 9.7 8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 14.5 / 12.1 20.0 / 5.0
Walks 4.5 / 2.5 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TB Advantage
101-64-0 (61.2%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TB Advantage
(53.3%)
Margin: 0.6 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TB
76-83-6
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: +0.6
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
TB
LAA
TB
ML
59% 96-66
58% 95-68
55% 89-73
58% 95-68
ATS
60% 97-65
60% 97-66
51% 82-80
55% 90-73
TTL
53% 83-74-5
47% 73-81-9
52% 82-75-5
51% 78-75-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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