COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
26-44 | Road
5
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
34-35 | Home
7
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Juan Mejia
#47 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Elvis Alvarado
#37 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Mejia | None-None | 5.97 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Elvis Alvarado | None-None | 5.40 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.97
ERA
Ldr 5.40
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
36%
ATHLETICS
64%
ROCKIES
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
30%
Under 0
70%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
COL By 1-2 runs
10.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
5.4%
ATH By 1-2 runs
18.4%
ATH By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Athletics
8
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Win
64% Win Prob
C
Sim
Athletics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Athletics (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u14.5
Win
Proj Total: 13.0
B
Sim
u14.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
COL @ ATH
23 - 9
Jun 13, 2026
COL @ ATH
5 - 7
Jun 12, 2026
COL @ ATH
4 - 6
Apr 6, 2025
ATH @ COL
5 - 12
Apr 5, 2025
ATH @ COL
7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.64
▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.254
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.322
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.417
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.739
▲
OPS
.719
180
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+98.1% more
Athletics: 3.1
vs
Colorado: 1.5
Total Bases (L5)
+35.4% more
Athletics: 21.0
vs
Colorado: 15.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+29.7% more
Athletics: 10.5
vs
Colorado: 8.1
Hits (L5)
+8.0% more
Athletics: 9.8
vs
Colorado: 9.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
5
ATH Score
8.0
7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.8
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.8 / 9.1
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
3.1 / 1.5
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.5 / 8.1
7.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
21.0 / 15.5
18.0 / 16.0
Walks
2.7 / 3.8
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
COL
ATH
COL
ML
59%
95-67
60%
97-64
54%
87-74
55%
88-73
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
97-64
50%
81-80
52%
83-78
TTL
54%
84-73-5
60%
93-62-6
42%
66-90-5
50%
77-78-6
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