Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rockies @ Athletics COL @ ATH

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

26-43  |  Road

4
FINAL
Fri, Jun 12 • 10:05 PM ET
Las Vegas Ballpark
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

33-35  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Brennan Bernardino
STARTING PITCHER

Brennan Bernardino

#83 | Relief Pitcher
@
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brennan Bernardino None-None 4.18 -- 0.2 2
Hogan Harris None-None 2.67 -- 1.1 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.18 ERA Ldr 2.67
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.1
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
45%
📊
ATHLETICS
55%
ROCKIES --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Athletics)
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

40.1%

Athletics Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

COL By 1-2 runs

16.3%

COL By 3-4 runs

10.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
COLORADO
5
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
COLORADO
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u13.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Sim u13.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 COL @ ATH 23 - 9
Jun 13, 2026 COL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 12, 2026 COL @ ATH 4 - 6
Apr 6, 2025 ATH @ COL 5 - 12
Apr 5, 2025 ATH @ COL 7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.64 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.254 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.322 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.417 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.739 ▲
OPS
.719
180
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +98.9% more
Athletics: 3.6 vs Colorado: 1.8
Errors (L5) +34.0% more
Athletics: 0.6 vs Colorado: 0.2
Strikeouts (L5) +32.0% more
Athletics: 10.7 vs Colorado: 8.1
Total Bases (L5) +23.9% more
Athletics: 22.0 vs Colorado: 17.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.0 4
ATH Score 5.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 9.7 / 10.1 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 3.6 / 1.8 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.7 / 8.1 10.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 22.0 / 17.8 19.0 / 11.0
Walks 3.6 / 3.7 1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH Advantage
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
COL
ATH
COL
ML
59% 95-67
60% 97-64
54% 87-74
55% 88-73
ATS
52% 84-78
60% 97-64
50% 81-80
52% 83-78
TTL
54% 84-73-5
60% 93-62-6
42% 66-90-5
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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