Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ White Sox LAD @ CHW

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

44-25  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Jun 12 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

36-31  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Edgardo Henriquez
STARTING PITCHER

Edgardo Henriquez

#60 | Relief Pitcher
@
Chris Murphy
STARTING PITCHER

Chris Murphy

#38 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Edgardo Henriquez None-None 3.42 -- 1.0 2
Chris Murphy None-None 6.10 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.42 Ldr ERA 6.10
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
📊
WHITE SOX
50%
DODGERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 58%
Under 0 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

40.1%

White Sox Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
LOS ANGELES
6
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 LAD @ CHW 4 - 6
Jun 13, 2026 LAD @ CHW 7 - 1
Jun 12, 2026 LAD @ CHW 2 - 8
Jul 3, 2025 CHW @ LAD 2 - 6
Jul 2, 2025 CHW @ LAD 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.94
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.257
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.338
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
.762
OPS
▲ .826
204 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +54.0% more
Chicago: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.3
Runs per Game (Season) +21.5% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.9
On-Base Pct (Season) +7.7%
Chicago: 41.5% vs Los Angeles: 33.8%
Batting Avg (Season) +6.7%
Chicago: 32.4% vs Los Angeles: 25.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 5.0 2
CHW Score 6.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.1 / 10.0 10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.9 / 9.7 9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 13.9 / 16.1 16.0 / 5.0
Walks 3.3 / 3.3 1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
LAD
CHW
LAD
ML
49% 81-86
56% 92-73
56% 94-73
48% 79-87
ATS
59% 99-68
59% 98-67
56% 93-74
43% 72-94
TTL
58% 96-69-2
48% 77-82-6
51% 84-81-2
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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