ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
37-29 | Road
8
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
31-39 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryne Stanek
#55 | Relief Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Morris
#78 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne Stanek | None-None | 5.60 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Andrew Morris | None-None | 5.10 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.60
ERA
Ldr 5.10
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
65%
TWINS
35%
CARDINALS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
STL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
STL By 3-4 runs
10.6%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
35% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim
Cardinals (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 14, 2026
STL @ MIN
4 - 5
Jun 13, 2026
STL @ MIN
9 - 6
Jun 12, 2026
STL @ MIN
8 - 9
Mar 30, 2025
MIN @ STL
2 - 9
Mar 29, 2025
MIN @ STL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.44
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.691
OPS
▲
.720
167
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+239.8% more
Minnesota: 4.4
vs
St. Louis: 1.3
Home Runs (Season)
+12.0% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
St. Louis: 167.0
Errors (L5)
+10.0% more
Minnesota: 0.2
vs
St. Louis: 0.1
OPS (Season)
+2.9%
Minnesota: 72.0%
vs
St. Louis: 69.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
5.0
8
MIN Score
6.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 8.9
11.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 2.1
4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 8.3
11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
13.1 / 17.5
27.0 / 16.0
Walks
4.4 / 1.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
STL
MIN
STL
ML
52%
84-78
53%
85-74
50%
80-81
52%
84-77
ATS
59%
95-67
56%
89-70
59%
95-66
53%
85-76
TTL
51%
78-75-9
46%
68-81-10
53%
80-72-9
50%
76-75-10
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