NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
94
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
75%
SPURS
25%
KNICKS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
NY By 1-7 points
21.6%
NY By 8-14 points
10.7%
SA By 1-7 points
27.2%
SA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
109
NEW YORK
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
New York
105
NEW YORK
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Loss
25% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Sim
Spurs (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.0
Loss
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
o215.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.7% more
San Antonio: 5.3
vs
New York: 4.6
Steals (L5)
+9.6% more
San Antonio: 8.1
vs
New York: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.2%
San Antonio: 79.8%
vs
New York: 76.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+11.5% more
New York: 13.8
vs
San Antonio: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
109.0
94
SA Score
112.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 40.2
32.0 / 32.0
Assists
24.0 / 23.8
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.3 / 4.6
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 45.8
38.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 76.7
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
42.7 / 44.0
47.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.4
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 13.8
13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
NY
SA
NY
ML
60%
111-73
61%
114-72
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
107-76-1
67%
124-62
58%
61-44
56%
57-45
TTL
74%
134-47-3
72%
133-53
100%
105-0
100%
102-0
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