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CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

34-34  |  Road

9
FINAL
Thu, Jun 11 • 3:10 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

26-42  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Ferguson
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Ferguson

#64 | Relief Pitcher
@
Ryan Feltner
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Feltner

#18 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Ferguson None-None 16.88 -- 1.1 3
Ryan Feltner None-None 5.20 -- 4.1 3
None-None W-L None-None
16.88 ERA Ldr 5.20
-- WHIP --
1.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.1
3 K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
33%
📊
ROCKIES
67%
CUBS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

40.1%

Rockies Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

CHC By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHC By 3-4 runs

10.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CHICAGO
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
5
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Loss
67% Win Prob
C
Sim Rockies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rockies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim Rockies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u11.0 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u11.0 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 17, 2026 COL @ CHC 6 - 8
Jun 16, 2026 COL @ CHC 5 - 2
Jun 15, 2026 COL @ CHC 4 - 5
Jun 11, 2026 CHC @ COL 9 - 3
Jun 10, 2026 CHC @ COL 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Colorado COL
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.374
OPS
▲ .739
0
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +18000.0% more
Colorado: 180.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +414.0% more
Colorado: 4.6 vs Chicago: 0.5
OPS (Season) +36.5%
Colorado: 73.9% vs Chicago: 37.4%
Errors (L5) +33.0% more
Colorado: 0.3 vs Chicago: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 5.0 9
COL Score 6.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.2 / 7.0 12.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.0 3.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.2 / 8.5 8.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 15.1 / 12.0 23.0 / 20.0
Walks 4.0 / 3.7 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CHC
COL
CHC
ML
60% 97-64
58% 93-68
55% 88-73
51% 82-79
ATS
60% 97-64
61% 97-63-1
52% 83-78
47% 75-85-1
TTL
60% 93-62-6
52% 81-74-6
50% 77-78-6
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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