LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
43-25 | Road
8
PITTSBURGH
PIRATESPIT
35-33 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yohan Ramirez
#49 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 2.48 | -- | 1.1 | 3 |
| Yohan Ramirez | None-None | 4.42 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.48 Ldr
ERA
4.42
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
54%
PIRATES
46%
DODGERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.4%
LAD By 3-4 runs
19.6%
PIT By 1-2 runs
10.6%
PIT By 3-4 runs
5.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
PIT @ LAD
0 - 4
Aug 22, 2026
PIT @ LAD
3 - 4
Aug 21, 2026
PIT @ LAD
4 - 5
Jun 11, 2026
LAD @ PIT
8 - 6
Jun 10, 2026
LAD @ PIT
8 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Pittsburgh
PIT
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.73
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.253
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.330
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.404
.762
▲
OPS
.734
204
▲
Home Runs
186
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+20.4% more
Los Angeles: 10.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 7.9
Total Bases (L5)
+9.8% more
Los Angeles: 17.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 15.4
Home Runs (Season)
+8.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 186.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+4.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Pittsburgh: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
6.0
8
PIT Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 10.0
12.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 9.5
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
15.4 / 17.1
22.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.8 / 3.4
8.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PIT
82-80-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PIT
Advantage
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
PIT
81-74-7
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
LAD
PIT
LAD
ML
52%
82-77
56%
92-73
52%
85-78
48%
79-87
ATS
54%
86-73
59%
98-67
50%
81-82
43%
72-94
TTL
47%
72-81-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
79-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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