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MINNESOTA

TWINSMIN

30-38  |  Road

6
FINAL
Wed, Jun 10 • 6:40 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

28-39  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Yoendrys Gomez
STARTING PITCHER

Yoendrys Gomez

#94 | Relief Pitcher
@
Drew Sommers
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Sommers

#51 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Yoendrys Gomez None-None 3.90 -- 1.0 1
Drew Sommers None-None 0.00 -- 0.2 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.90 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 0.2
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
32%
📊
TIGERS
68%
TWINS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
TwinsMIN (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Twins Cover

69.1%

Tigers Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIN By 3-4 runs

18.4%

DET By 1-2 runs

13.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5
MINNESOTA
3
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
MINNESOTA
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Twins Win
32% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Twins (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim Tigers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim o9.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 9, 2026 MIN @ DET 2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026 MIN @ DET 3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026 MIN @ DET 4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026 DET @ MIN 11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026 DET @ MIN 2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota MIN
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.56 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
OPS
.720
187 ▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +41.8% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Detroit: 2.7
Errors (L5) +27.0% more
Minnesota: 0.5 vs Detroit: 0.3
Home Runs (Season) +3.2% more
Minnesota: 187.0 vs Detroit: 181.0
Runs per Game (Season) +2.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6 vs Detroit: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 5.0 6
DET Score 3.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.2 / 8.3 7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs 2.2 / 2.1 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.5 / 9.1 3.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 17.3 / 16.3 8.0 / 19.0
Walks 2.7 / 4.6 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
77-85-0 (47.5%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
54% 86-73
52% 84-78
54% 87-73
50% 80-81
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 95-67
57% 91-69
59% 95-66
TTL
46% 69-81-9
51% 78-75-9
46% 69-81-10
53% 80-72-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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