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ATLANTA

BRAVESATL

45-22  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Jun 10 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

35-31  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Dylan Lee
STARTING PITCHER

Dylan Lee

#52 | Relief Pitcher
@
Bryan Hudson
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan Hudson

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Dylan Lee None-None 1.16 -- 0.1 1
Bryan Hudson None-None 2.32 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
1.16 Ldr ERA 2.32
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
50%
📊
WHITE SOX
50%
BRAVES --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 88%
Under 0 12%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Atlanta)
BravesATL (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

69.1%

White Sox Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

ATL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATL By 3-4 runs

18.4%

CHW By 1-2 runs

13.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6
ATLANTA
4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
ATLANTA
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Braves (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim White Sox (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Sim o7.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 ATL @ CHW 2 - 0
Jun 10, 2026 ATL @ CHW 1 - 2
Jun 9, 2026 ATL @ CHW 5 - 6
Aug 20, 2025 CHW @ ATL 0 - 1
Aug 19, 2025 CHW @ ATL 10 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta ATL
vs
Chicago CHW
1
Games Played
1
5.00
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.433 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
.757
OPS
▲ .826
1
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.1%
Atlanta: 43.3% vs Chicago: 41.2%
Errors (L5) +41.0% more
Chicago: 0.7 vs Atlanta: 0.3
Home Runs (L5) +23.0% more
Chicago: 1.5 vs Atlanta: 1.2
Runs per Game (Season) +20.0% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Atlanta: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 6.0 1
CHW Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.3 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.6 / 8.2 8.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.2 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 7.4 7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 15.8 / 13.3 10.0 / 8.0
Walks 4.0 / 4.0 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
93%MONEY7%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL Advantage
97-72-0 (57.4%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2% Total +/-: 0.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATL
CHW
ATL
ML
49% 81-86
46% 77-90
56% 94-73
54% 90-78
ATS
59% 99-68
57% 96-71
56% 93-74
52% 87-81
TTL
58% 96-69-2
53% 83-73-11
51% 84-81-2
49% 76-80-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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