Home / MLB Projections MLB / Brewers @ Athletics MIL @ ATH

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

41-24  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Jun 10 • 9:05 PM ET
Las Vegas Ballpark
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

32-35  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Trevor Megill
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Megill

#29 | Relief Pitcher
@
Elvis Alvarado
STARTING PITCHER

Elvis Alvarado

#37 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Trevor Megill None-None 4.50 -- 1.0 2
Elvis Alvarado None-None 5.79 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
4.50 Ldr ERA 5.79
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
58%
📊
ATHLETICS
42%
BREWERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

69.1%

Athletics Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

MIL By 3-4 runs

18.4%

ATH By 1-2 runs

13.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6
MILWAUKEE
4
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
5
MILWAUKEE
4
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Brewers Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim Brewers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Brewers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u14.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim u14.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 10, 2026 MIL @ ATH 3 - 4
Jun 9, 2026 MIL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 8, 2026 MIL @ ATH 15 - 14
Apr 20, 2025 ATH @ MIL 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2025 ATH @ MIL 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.743 ▲
OPS
.719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +17.1% more
Milwaukee: 12.2 vs Athletics: 10.1
Runs per Game (Season) +16.1% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Athletics: 4.3
On-Base Pct (Season) +2.4%
Milwaukee: 34.1% vs Athletics: 31.7%
OPS (Season) +2.4%
Milwaukee: 74.3% vs Athletics: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 6.0 3
ATH Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.1 / 12.2 9.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 3.9 / 2.0 3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 11.6 / 10.9 9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 23.0 / 21.5 20.0 / 19.0
Walks 3.9 / 3.7 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
96%MONEY4%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
MIL
ATH
MIL
ML
59% 95-67
62% 101-61
54% 87-74
52% 84-78
ATS
52% 84-78
58% 94-68
50% 81-80
48% 78-84
TTL
54% 84-73-5
40% 62-92-8
42% 66-90-5
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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