SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Road
106
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
31%
KNICKS
69%
SPURS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
245.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
SA By 1-7 points
6.8%
SA By 8-14 points
1.7%
NY By 1-7 points
18.6%
NY By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
116
SAN ANTONIO
New York
129
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
New York
110
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
Spurs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
C
Sim
Spurs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.5
Loss
Proj Total: 245.0
D
Sim
u216.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+12.9% more
New York: 8.1
vs
San Antonio: 7.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.2%
New York: 79.5%
vs
San Antonio: 77.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
New York: 36.8%
vs
San Antonio: 34.8%
Blocks (L5)
+18.1% more
San Antonio: 6.0
vs
New York: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
116.0
106
NY Score
129.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 34.8
47.0 / 40.0
Assists
24.1 / 24.0
23.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.9 / 6.0
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 44.3
46.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
79.5 / 77.3
71.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
46.5 / 43.1
39.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.2
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 12.3
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SA
NY
SA
ML
61%
114-72
60%
111-73
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
107-76-1
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
134-47-3
100%
102-0
100%
105-0
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