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CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

34-32  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Jun 9 • 8:40 PM ET
Coors Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

24-42  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Ethan Roberts
STARTING PITCHER

Ethan Roberts

#39 | Relief Pitcher
@
Brennan Bernardino
STARTING PITCHER

Brennan Bernardino

#83 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ethan Roberts None-None 1.86 -- 1.0 --
Brennan Bernardino None-None 4.44 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
1.86 Ldr ERA 4.44
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
50%
📊
ROCKIES
50%
CUBS --
ROCKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Colorado)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 RockiesCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

40.1%

Rockies Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

CHC By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHC By 3-4 runs

10.6%

COL By 1-2 runs

19.6%

COL By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CHICAGO
6
COLORADO
Simulated Score
6
CHICAGO
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rockies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rockies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Cubs (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u12.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim u12.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 17, 2026 COL @ CHC 6 - 8
Jun 16, 2026 COL @ CHC 5 - 2
Jun 15, 2026 COL @ CHC 4 - 5
Jun 11, 2026 CHC @ COL 9 - 3
Jun 10, 2026 CHC @ COL 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Colorado COL
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.64
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .254
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .322
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .417
.374
OPS
▲ .739
0
Home Runs
▲ 180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +18000.0% more
Colorado: 180.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +414.0% more
Colorado: 4.6 vs Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5) +74.0% more
Colorado: 0.8 vs Chicago: 0.0
OPS (Season) +36.5%
Colorado: 73.9% vs Chicago: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 5.0 3
COL Score 6.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.9 / 8.0 12.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.0 / 1.0 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.2 / 8.9 6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 13.6 / 12.6 23.0 / 12.0
Walks 4.0 / 3.0 4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
17%MONEY83%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CHC
COL
CHC
ML
60% 97-64
58% 93-68
55% 88-73
51% 82-79
ATS
60% 97-64
61% 97-63-1
52% 83-78
47% 75-85-1
TTL
60% 93-62-6
52% 81-74-6
50% 77-78-6
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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