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HOUSTON

ASTROSHOU

31-37  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Jun 9 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

25-42  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
AJ Blubaugh
STARTING PITCHER

AJ Blubaugh

#69 | Relief Pitcher
@
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
AJ Blubaugh None-None 4.22 -- 2.0 2
Walbert Urena None-None 2.44 -- 5.0 7
None-None W-L None-None
4.22 ERA Ldr 2.44
-- WHIP --
2.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 5.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
ASTROS
64%
📊
ANGELS
36%
ASTROS --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
AstrosHOU (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Astros Cover

30.9%

Angels Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

HOU By 1-2 runs

13.6%

HOU By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
4
HOUSTON
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
HOUSTON
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
36% Win Prob
D
Sim Angels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Sim o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 20, 2026 LAA @ HOU 18 - 3
Aug 19, 2026 LAA @ HOU 2 - 3
Aug 18, 2026 LAA @ HOU 3 - 1
Jul 29, 2026 HOU @ LAA 7 - 4
Jul 28, 2026 HOU @ LAA 3 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Houston HOU
vs
Los Angeles LAA
2
Games Played
▲ 162
3.00
Runs / Game
▲ 4.04
.169
Avg (AVG)
▲ .234
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .310
.354
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .369
.582
OPS
▲ .679
4
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +3750.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs Houston: 4.0
Errors (L5) +99.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.3 vs Houston: 0.4
Home Runs (L5) +35.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.1 vs Houston: 0.8
Runs per Game (Season) +34.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.0 vs Houston: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOU Score 4.0 1
LAA Score 6.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.3 / 0.4 0.0 / 3.0
Hits 8.9 / 8.0 10.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.3 / 10.4 12.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 14.1 / 13.7 12.0 / 5.0
Walks 4.7 / 4.1 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
94%MONEY6%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU Advantage
81-83-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7% Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
HOU
LAA
HOU
ML
59% 96-66
50% 81-82
55% 89-73
47% 77-87
ATS
60% 97-65
56% 91-72
51% 82-80
55% 90-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
45% 70-84-9
52% 82-75-5
45% 69-86-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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