Home / MLB Projections MLB / Brewers @ Athletics MIL @ ATH

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

41-23  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Jun 9 • 10:05 PM ET
Las Vegas Ballpark
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

31-35  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Robert Gasser
STARTING PITCHER

Robert Gasser

#54 | Starting Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Mason Barnett

#63 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Robert Gasser None-None 6.38 -- 5.0 7
Mason Barnett None-None 0.00 -- 2.0 4
None-None W-L None-None
6.38 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
7 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 4
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
68%
📊
ATHLETICS
32%
BREWERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
13.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Milwaukee)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

77.3%

Athletics Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)

MIL By 1-2 runs

18.4%

MIL By 3-4 runs

19.6%

ATH By 1-2 runs

10.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
8
MILWAUKEE
5
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Brewers Loss
68% Win Prob
C
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Brewers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim Athletics (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u13.5 Win
Proj Total: 13.0
C
Sim u13.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 10, 2026 MIL @ ATH 3 - 4
Jun 9, 2026 MIL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 8, 2026 MIL @ ATH 15 - 14
Apr 20, 2025 ATH @ MIL 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2025 ATH @ MIL 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.743 ▲
OPS
.719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +29.0% more
Milwaukee: 14.2 vs Athletics: 10.1
Total Bases (L5) +16.5% more
Milwaukee: 25.7 vs Athletics: 21.5
Runs per Game (Season) +16.1% more
Milwaukee: 5.1 vs Athletics: 4.3
Strikeouts (L5) +11.7% more
Milwaukee: 12.3 vs Athletics: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 8.0 5
ATH Score 5.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.2 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.1 / 14.2 10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 3.3 / 2.6 5.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.9 / 12.3 13.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 21.5 / 25.7 26.0 / 13.0
Walks 4.3 / 3.6 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
MIL
ATH
MIL
ML
59% 95-67
62% 101-61
54% 87-74
52% 84-78
ATS
52% 84-78
58% 94-68
50% 81-80
48% 78-84
TTL
54% 84-73-5
40% 62-92-8
42% 66-90-5
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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