ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
45-21 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
34-31 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Raisel Iglesias
#26 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raisel Iglesias | None-None | 1.21 | -- | 1.2 | 2 |
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 1.82 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.21 Ldr
ERA
1.82
--
WHIP
--
1.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
60%
WHITE SOX
40%
BRAVES
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
ATL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CHW By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
40% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
White Sox (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
ATL @ CHW
2 - 0
Jun 10, 2026
ATL @ CHW
1 - 2
Jun 9, 2026
ATL @ CHW
5 - 6
Aug 20, 2025
CHW @ ATL
0 - 1
Aug 19, 2025
CHW @ ATL
10 - 11
Season Statistics Comparison
Atlanta
ATL
vs
Chicago
CHW
1
Games Played
1
5.00
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.324
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.433
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.412
.757
OPS
▲
.826
1
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+58.0% more
Chicago: 10.0
vs
Atlanta: 6.3
Total Bases (L5)
+55.5% more
Chicago: 16.2
vs
Atlanta: 10.4
Home Runs (L5)
+42.0% more
Chicago: 1.3
vs
Atlanta: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+29.4% more
Chicago: 4.4
vs
Atlanta: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
4.0
5
CHW Score
6.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.0 / 6.3
9.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.3 / 0.8
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.4 / 8.6
6.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
16.2 / 10.4
15.0 / 19.0
Walks
4.4 / 3.4
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
CHW
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
ATL
CHW
ATL
ML
49%
81-86
46%
77-90
56%
94-73
54%
90-78
ATS
59%
99-68
57%
96-71
56%
93-74
52%
87-81
TTL
58%
96-69-2
53%
83-73-11
51%
84-81-2
49%
76-80-11
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…