LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
42-24 | Road
12
PITTSBURGH
PIRATESPIT
34-32 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tanner Scott
#66 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Wilber Dotel
#66 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | None-None | 2.60 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Wilber Dotel | None-None | 4.32 | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.60 Ldr
ERA
4.32
--
WHIP
--
1.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
55%
PIRATES
45%
DODGERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
18.4%
PIT By 1-2 runs
13.6%
PIT By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Pittsburgh
5
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Pirates (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 23, 2026
PIT @ LAD
0 - 4
Aug 22, 2026
PIT @ LAD
3 - 4
Aug 21, 2026
PIT @ LAD
4 - 5
Jun 11, 2026
LAD @ PIT
8 - 6
Jun 10, 2026
LAD @ PIT
8 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Pittsburgh
PIT
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.73
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.253
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.330
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.404
.762
▲
OPS
.734
204
▲
Home Runs
186
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+41.3% more
Los Angeles: 1.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+22.4% more
Los Angeles: 14.8
vs
Pittsburgh: 11.5
Hits (L5)
+20.4% more
Los Angeles: 9.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 7.1
Home Runs (Season)
+8.8% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Pittsburgh: 186.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.0
12
PIT Score
3.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.1
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 9.0
5.0 / 15.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.5
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 10.2
9.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 14.8
12.0 / 22.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.9
9.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PIT
82-80-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
PIT
Advantage
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
PIT
81-74-7
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
LAD
PIT
LAD
ML
52%
82-77
56%
92-73
52%
85-78
48%
79-87
ATS
54%
86-73
59%
98-67
50%
81-82
43%
72-94
TTL
47%
72-81-6
48%
77-82-6
50%
79-78-6
44%
70-90-6
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