Home / MLB Projections MLB / Brewers @ Athletics MIL @ ATH

MILWAUKEE

BREWERSMIL

40-23  |  Road

15
FINAL
Mon, Jun 8 • 10:05 PM ET
Las Vegas Ballpark
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

31-34  |  Home

14
Probable Pitchers
Chad Patrick
STARTING PITCHER

Chad Patrick

#39 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jose Suarez
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Suarez

#54 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Chad Patrick None-None 2.22 -- 1.0 2
Jose Suarez None-None 5.85 -- 2.0 4
None-None W-L None-None
2.22 Ldr ERA 5.85
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 4
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
65%
📊
ATHLETICS
35%
BREWERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
16.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 39%
Under 0 61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Athletics)
BrewersMIL (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Brewers Cover

2.3%

Athletics Cover

97.7%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

MIL By 1-2 runs

1.2%

MIL By 3-4 runs

0.3%

ATH By 1-2 runs

5.4%

ATH By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MILWAUKEE
12
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
MILWAUKEE
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Loss
35% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -8.0
D
Sim Athletics (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o11.0 Win
Proj Total: 16.0
D
Sim u11.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 10, 2026 MIL @ ATH 3 - 4
Jun 9, 2026 MIL @ ATH 5 - 7
Jun 8, 2026 MIL @ ATH 15 - 14
Apr 20, 2025 ATH @ MIL 1 - 14
Apr 19, 2025 ATH @ MIL 3 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee MIL
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
5.14 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.258 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.743 ▲
OPS
.719
154
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +39.0% more
Athletics: 0.6 vs Milwaukee: 0.2
Home Runs (Season) +26.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Milwaukee: 154.0
Walks (L5) +20.3% more
Athletics: 3.4 vs Milwaukee: 2.9
Total Bases (L5) +43.6% more
Milwaukee: 22.6 vs Athletics: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 4.0 15
ATH Score 12.0 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.2 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.2 / 12.4 16.0 / 18.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 1.8 7.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts 8.9 / 8.5 15.0 / 20.0
Total Bases 12.8 / 22.6 39.0 / 32.0
Walks 3.4 / 2.9 6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
92%MONEY8%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
98%MONEY2%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL Advantage
106-60-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7% Total +/-: +0.8
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
MIL
ATH
MIL
ML
59% 95-67
62% 101-61
54% 87-74
52% 84-78
ATS
52% 84-78
58% 94-68
50% 81-80
48% 78-84
TTL
54% 84-73-5
40% 62-92-8
42% 66-90-5
50% 77-77-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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