Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Cubs SF @ CHC

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

26-39  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Jun 7 • 8:30 PM ET
Wrigley Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

34-31  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Keaton Winn

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Trent Thornton
STARTING PITCHER

Trent Thornton

#49 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Keaton Winn None-None 2.40 -- 1.0 1
Trent Thornton None-None 1.69 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
2.40 ERA Ldr 1.69
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
46%
📊
CUBS
54%
GIANTS --
CUBS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 65%
Under 0 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (San Francisco)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 CubsCHC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

77.3%

Cubs Cover

22.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SF -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

SF By 1-2 runs

18.4%

SF By 3-4 runs

19.6%

CHC By 1-2 runs

10.6%

CHC By 3-4 runs

5.4%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SAN FRANCISCO
4
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
SAN FRANCISCO
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
46% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
C
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 CHC @ SF 1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026 CHC @ SF 6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026 CHC @ SF 5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026 SF @ CHC 2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026 SF @ CHC 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Chicago CHC
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.13 ▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.306 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.706 ▲
OPS
.374
178 ▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +100.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +87.9% more
San Francisco: 4.1 vs Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5) +84.0% more
San Francisco: 0.9 vs Chicago: 0.0
Walks (L5) +52.4% more
San Francisco: 5.4 vs Chicago: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 7.0 2
CHC Score 4.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.9 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.4 / 11.8 7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.5 / 2.5 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.8 / 7.3 9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 14.5 / 21.7 9.0 / 4.0
Walks 2.6 / 5.4 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
96%MONEY4%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
SF
CHC
SF
ML
58% 93-68
49% 79-81
51% 82-79
53% 85-75
ATS
61% 97-63-1
62% 100-60
47% 75-85-1
52% 83-77
TTL
52% 81-74-6
55% 82-68-10
46% 72-83-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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