Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Anderson
#38 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 5.40 | -- | 0.2 | -- |
| Drew Anderson | None-None | 3.86 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.40
ERA
Ldr 3.86
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
63%
TIGERS
38%
MARINERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
DET By 1-2 runs
13.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Seattle
SEATTLE
Detroit
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 6, 2026
DET @ SEA
11 - 0
Aug 5, 2026
DET @ SEA
2 - 4
Aug 4, 2026
DET @ SEA
8 - 0
Jun 7, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 5
Jun 6, 2026
SEA @ DET
4 - 0
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.241
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.400
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+27.0% more
Seattle: 0.4
vs
Detroit: 0.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+26.8% more
Seattle: 10.3
vs
Detroit: 7.6
Hits (L5)
+16.5% more
Seattle: 9.4
vs
Detroit: 7.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.8% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.0
4
DET Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.4
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.9 / 9.4
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 10.3
11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
14.6 / 15.6
11.0 / 14.0
Walks
2.2 / 2.4
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
54%
86-73
50%
81-81
54%
87-73
52%
85-77
ATS
64%
101-58
60%
98-64
57%
91-69
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
69-81-9
56%
85-67-10
46%
69-81-10
53%
81-71-10