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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

34-30  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Jun 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

PHILLIESPHI

34-30  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Trevor Richards
STARTING PITCHER

Trevor Richards

#43 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jonathan Bowlan
STARTING PITCHER

Jonathan Bowlan

#52 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Trevor Richards None-None 4.29 -- 2.1 1
Jonathan Bowlan None-None 3.98 -- 2.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
4.29 ERA Ldr 3.98
-- WHIP --
2.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
50%
📊
PHILLIES
50%
WHITE SOX --
PHILLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 39%
Under 0 61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 PhilliesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

40.1%

Phillies Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

PHI By 1-2 runs

19.6%

PHI By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CHICAGO
6
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Phillies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Phillies (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.0 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 CHW @ PHI 5 - 9
Jun 6, 2026 CHW @ PHI 6 - 3
Jun 5, 2026 CHW @ PHI 6 - 8
Jul 30, 2025 PHI @ CHW 3 - 9
Jul 29, 2025 PHI @ CHW 6 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Philadelphia PHI
1
Games Played
▲ 2
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .438
.826 ▲
OPS
.724
1
Home Runs
▲ 3
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +44.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.5 vs Chicago: 0.1
Slugging Pct (Season) +2.6%
Philadelphia: 43.8% vs Chicago: 41.2%
Runs per Game (Season) +41.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Philadelphia: 3.5
Walks (L5) +24.6% more
Chicago: 3.7 vs Philadelphia: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 5.0 5
PHI Score 6.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.7 / 10.0 11.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 1.9 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.1 / 9.6 11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 13.8 / 17.8 20.0 / 13.0
Walks 2.8 / 3.7 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
PHI Advantage
89-76-0 (53.9%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHW
PHI
CHW
ML
59% 97-67
49% 81-86
49% 80-84
56% 94-73
ATS
65% 107-57
59% 99-68
51% 83-81
56% 93-74
TTL
57% 88-67-9
58% 96-69-2
51% 78-76-9
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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