MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
39-23 | Road
12
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
24-41 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Chad Patrick
#39 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Freeland
#21 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick | None-None | 2.26 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Kyle Freeland | None-None | 7.81 | -- | 5.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.26 Ldr
ERA
7.81
--
WHIP
--
1.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
71%
ROCKIES
29%
BREWERS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
16.3%
MIL By 3-4 runs
19.6%
COL By 1-2 runs
7.8%
COL By 3-4 runs
3.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
7
MILWAUKEE
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Colorado
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
71% Win Prob
B
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u11.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 26, 2026
COL @ MIL
2 - 11
Jul 25, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 8
Jul 24, 2026
COL @ MIL
5 - 2
Jun 7, 2026
MIL @ COL
12 - 4
Jun 6, 2026
MIL @ COL
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.64
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.254
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.322
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.743
▲
OPS
.739
154
Home Runs
▲
180
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+57.8% more
Milwaukee: 2.3
vs
Colorado: 1.0
Total Bases (L5)
+24.8% more
Milwaukee: 18.4
vs
Colorado: 13.9
Hits (L5)
+16.9% more
Milwaukee: 10.0
vs
Colorado: 8.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+10.3% more
Milwaukee: 9.3
vs
Colorado: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
7.0
12
COL Score
3.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 10.0
7.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 2.3
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 9.3
5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 18.4
13.0 / 31.0
Walks
4.6 / 3.8
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIL
COL
MIL
ML
60%
97-64
62%
101-61
55%
88-73
52%
84-78
ATS
60%
97-64
58%
94-68
52%
83-78
48%
78-84
TTL
60%
93-62-6
40%
62-92-8
50%
77-78-6
50%
77-77-8
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