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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

30-34  |  Road

5
FINAL
Sun, Jun 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Daikin Park
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

ASTROSHOU

30-36  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Hogan Harris
STARTING PITCHER

Hogan Harris

#36 | Relief Pitcher
@
Bryan Abreu
STARTING PITCHER

Bryan Abreu

#52 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Hogan Harris None-None 2.40 -- 1.0 1
Bryan Abreu None-None 7.17 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
2.40 Ldr ERA 7.17
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
29%
📊
ASTROS
71%
ATHLETICS --
ASTROS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 AstrosHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

40.1%

Astros Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around HOU +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

16.3%

HOU By 1-2 runs

16.3%

HOU By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
5
ATHLETICS
4
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
ATHLETICS
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Athletics Win
29% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Astros (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
A
Sim
Proj Runs:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 HOU @ ATH 9 - 0
Sep 26, 2026 HOU @ ATH 13 - 2
Sep 25, 2026 HOU @ ATH 5 - 6
Sep 24, 2026 HOU @ ATH 7 - 5
Aug 23, 2026 ATH @ HOU 7 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Houston HOU
162 ▲
Games Played
2
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
3.00
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.169
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.354
.719 ▲
OPS
.582
194 ▲
Home Runs
4
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +97.9% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Houston: 4.0
Runs per Game (Season) +30.4% more
Athletics: 4.3 vs Houston: 3.0
Errors (L5) +15.0% more
Athletics: 0.5 vs Houston: 0.3
OPS (Season) +13.7%
Athletics: 71.9% vs Houston: 58.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.0 5
HOU Score 4.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.0 / 6.7 4.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 10.4 / 9.8 8.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 18.2 / 11.1 4.0 / 16.0
Walks 4.8 / 3.7 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
99%MONEY1%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
HOU Advantage
81-83-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
HOU Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
HOU
81-74-9
O: 52.3% / U: 47.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
ATH
HOU
ATH
ML
50% 81-82
59% 95-67
47% 77-87
54% 87-74
ATS
56% 91-72
52% 84-78
55% 90-74
50% 81-80
TTL
45% 70-84-9
54% 84-73-5
45% 69-86-9
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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