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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

33-30  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sat, Jun 6 • 4:05 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

PHILLIESPHI

34-29  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Chase Shugart
STARTING PITCHER

Chase Shugart

#55 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 1.93 -- 1.0 3
Chase Shugart None-None 2.21 -- 1.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
1.93 Ldr ERA 2.21
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
3 K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
36%
📊
PHILLIES
64%
WHITE SOX --
PHILLIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 PhilliesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

69.1%

Phillies Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

18.4%

PHI By 1-2 runs

13.6%

PHI By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6
CHICAGO
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Win
36% Win Prob
D
Sim Phillies Loss
68% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim Phillies (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u10.0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim u10.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 CHW @ PHI 5 - 9
Jun 6, 2026 CHW @ PHI 6 - 3
Jun 5, 2026 CHW @ PHI 6 - 8
Jul 30, 2025 PHI @ CHW 3 - 9
Jul 29, 2025 PHI @ CHW 6 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Philadelphia PHI
1
Games Played
▲ 2
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.412
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .438
.826 ▲
OPS
.724
1
Home Runs
▲ 3
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +41.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Philadelphia: 3.5
Total Bases (L5) +17.5% more
Chicago: 17.7 vs Philadelphia: 14.6
Home Runs (L5) +13.9% more
Chicago: 1.8 vs Philadelphia: 1.6
On-Base Pct (Season) +12.9%
Chicago: 41.5% vs Philadelphia: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 6.0 6
PHI Score 4.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.0 / 9.9 5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 1.8 2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 8.6 / 7.0 10.0 / 15.0
Total Bases 14.6 / 17.7 12.0 / 18.0
Walks 2.6 / 3.0 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
PHI Advantage
89-76-0 (53.9%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CHW
PHI
CHW
ML
59% 97-67
49% 81-86
49% 80-84
56% 94-73
ATS
65% 107-57
59% 99-68
51% 83-81
56% 93-74
TTL
57% 88-67-9
58% 96-69-2
51% 78-76-9
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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