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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

24-40  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Jun 6 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

41-23  |  Home

9
Probable Pitchers
Samy Natera Jr.
STARTING PITCHER

Samy Natera Jr.

#52 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Samy Natera Jr. None-None 0.00 -- 2.0 3
Jack Dreyer None-None 2.92 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 2.92
-- WHIP --
2.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
3 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
32%
📊
DODGERS
68%
ANGELS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Dodgers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
LOS ANGELES
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
68% Win Prob
C
Sim Dodgers Win
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim o8.5 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 7, 2026 LAA @ LAD 13 - 5
Jun 6, 2026 LAA @ LAD 2 - 9
Jun 5, 2026 LAA @ LAD 0 - 1
May 17, 2026 LAD @ LAA 10 - 1
May 16, 2026 LAD @ LAA 15 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.679
OPS
▲ .762
154
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +32.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Home Runs (L5) +27.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.9 vs Los Angeles: 0.6
Runs per Game (Season) +22.3% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Strikeouts (L5) +10.5% more
Los Angeles: 9.9 vs Los Angeles: 8.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 5.0 2
LAD Score 6.0 9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.5 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 7.4 / 8.4 9.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 0.6 2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.9 / 8.9 5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 11.7 / 12.8 16.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.1 / 4.8 0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
98%MONEY2%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
LAA
LAD
LAA
ML
56% 92-73
59% 96-66
48% 79-87
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-65
43% 72-94
51% 82-80
TTL
48% 77-82-6
53% 83-74-5
44% 70-90-6
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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