SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Road
115
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
21%
KNICKS
79%
SPURS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
27.4%
SA By 8-14 points
21.6%
NY By 1-7 points
20.1%
NY By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
110
SAN ANTONIO
New York
106
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
New York
115
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
21% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.5
Win
Proj Total: 216.0
D
Sim
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.3% more
San Antonio: 5.5
vs
New York: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+8.2% more
San Antonio: 14.4
vs
New York: 13.2
Steals (L5)
+39.7% more
New York: 10.2
vs
San Antonio: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+24.0% more
New York: 27.2
vs
San Antonio: 21.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
110.0
115
NY Score
106.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 34.7
35.0 / 35.0
Assists
27.2 / 21.9
18.0 / 28.0
Blocks
4.4 / 5.5
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 43.4
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 76.9
82.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
46.7 / 46.1
46.0 / 37.0
Steals
10.2 / 7.3
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 14.4
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SA
NY
SA
ML
61%
114-72
60%
111-73
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
107-76-1
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
134-47-3
100%
102-0
100%
105-0
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